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SPAIN ELECTS NEW GOVERNMENT
15 March 2004

Only three days after the worst terrorist incident in Spanish history, the nation held its parliamentary elections. The Spanish electorate has chosen the PSOE socialist party, which had governed throughout the 1980s and the transition to democracy and into the 1990s. The new Prime Minister, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, has promised to form a multipartisan commission to devise a unified anti-terror policy, to maintain "permanent dialogue" with the opposition and to govern with "sensitivity" to regional concerns.

Prior the bombings of 11 March, the Partido Popular, the party of Prime Minister Aznar, had been thought to have a good chance at reelection. There was, however, growing discontent with the governing party, stemming from last year's defiant support for the war in Iraq, despite the overwhelming opposition of more than 90% of Spain's population.

Turnout is thought to be one of the major factors in the change in government, with fully 77% of eligible voters taking part in the election, an increase of 8.46% over 2000 turnout. In Catalunya, turnout was 12 points higher than four years ago. The sharply increased turnout appears to indicate two possibilities: Spaniards have chosen to express support for their democratic system by turning out to vote, or the public chose to punish the Partido Popular for its position on the war issue... or both.

Recent events may also have played a role in the change of course. While it is not likely that Spain will reduce its efforts to thwart terrorist organizations (Thursday's massacre will likely lead to more intense counter-terrorism efforts), it appears that the governing party's handling of the crisis caused widespread anger and evoked the mistrust that had developed around the war issue.

Starting early on Thursday, in the immediate aftermath of the bombings, the ruling party told the press that it had evidence that pointed to ETA, the Basque separatist group, as being responsible for the atrocities. So firm was their conviction that major newspapers immediately issued special editions blaming ETA for the worst attack in its history. The claim was based on evidence previously gathered in an investigation surrounding a foiled bomb plot like the one that struck Madrid on 11 March.

Evidence gathered in the early hours after the explosions reportedly included tapes with Arabic language and Koranic citations on them, but the PP maintained that the plot had been conceived and carried out by ETA. By Saturday evening, thousands of Spanish citizens had taken to the streets demanding the truth about the evidence be revealed officially in advance of the elections, so the Spanish people would have a right to decide their future with all the facts in evidence.

The PP leading candidate was quick to decry the demonstrations as "illegal" acts of protest against the governing party, but this resulted only in a backlash of civic defiance, with people around the country declaring that "the people's voice is not illegal". The atmosphere was reportedly tense and intensifying, when the national police demanded that the Interior Ministry come clean and reveal the whole truth about the information gathered about the nature and origin of the attacks. Late last night, the Interior Minister reportedly revealed that evidence pointed to an Al Qaeda connection to the attacks.

While international reports, based on PP statements to the press, suggested that an explosives-laden van discovered a month ago with the same explosives as used in these bombs and containing evidence of a plot to target trains, had been linked to ETA, investigators now contend that that van also contained Arabic language materials and Koranic verses. Anecdotal accounts from Spain also suggest that conservative voters supportive of the majority PP had decided not to vote for their party, due to suspicions about misleading statements and withholding of evidence.

The debacle surrounding the official production or presentation of evidence to the public also tapped into the concern that the government's approach to combatting terrorism, while sincere, may not have been the optimum solution to the problem. Today, the Interior Minister also admitted that 3 of the detainees have a history of violent criminal activity inside Spain.

This is the climate in which Spaniards went to the polls today. Some observers fear that the change of government indicates that terrorists influenced the election, but the situation is complex, and the Spanish people are proud and civically minded, and do not lightly alter their vote or support the opposing side in any election. The increased turnout should be seen as evidence that the Spanish people have refused to be swayed in any way by terror, and that their answer to the attack is civic participation and a demand for higher standards. [For more: ElPeriodico]

REFERENCE MATERIAL: Learn about the Spanish electoral system

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